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Red448
5687200.7
133210.7
5122116.6
Blue175
172133.3
4041157.1
3525118.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions450246100200300400500600700448175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
210.70.1
209.8209.9
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
red by 53.6
4041
#11
157.10.5
156.6157.1
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
Second
200.70.1
199.6199.7
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 67.4
172
#17
133.30.0
133.3133.3
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Third
5122
#40
116.60.1
116.0116.0
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 2.0
3525
#34
118.60.1
118.7118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9