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Red481
5687200.7
133210.7
5122116.6
Blue230
1768130.2
663169.1
6224138.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391278100200500600481230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
210.70.1
209.9210.0
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
red by 41.6
663
#7
169.10.2
168.8169.0
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Second
200.70.2
199.7199.9
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 62.7
6224
#25
138.00.1
138.2138.2
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
Third
5122
#40
116.60.1
116.0116.1
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 13.5
1768
#22
130.20.1
130.0130.1
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2