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Red248
2370158.3
2523129.6
4925110.1
Blue373
5633132.6
716134.2
172133.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348258100200300400500600248373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.30.8
155.3154.4
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
red by 24.1
716
#18
134.20.2
126.9126.7
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
Second
2523
#32
129.612.2
98.9111.1
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End19.9
blue by 3.7
172
#17
133.30.8
123.0123.8
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Third
4925
#31
110.110.2
91.7101.9
Auto15.9
Teleop86.0
End5.7
blue by 22.5
5633
#33DQ
132.610.9
92.4103.4
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed