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Red304
5122116.6
237170.3
6337130.0
Blue349
4055153.1
3525118.6
4906134.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344289100200400500600304349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#4
170.32.2
157.1159.3
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
red by 17.2
4055
#10
153.10.6
141.1140.5
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
Second
6337
#37
130.00.2
131.5131.7
Auto16.3
Teleop97.9
End16.0
blue by 4.3
4906
#24
134.20.7
130.9131.6
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
Third
5122
#40
116.60.9
107.3108.1
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 2.0
3525
#34
118.60.4
117.3116.9
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed