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Red248
237170.3
4555107.3
6161117.9
Blue389
3930133.3
2370158.3
4564193.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793740100200500600248389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#4
170.32.0
159.3161.3
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
blue by 22.8
193.11.0
176.9178.0
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
Second
6161
#21
117.97.8
99.3107.2
Auto16.3
Teleop87.3
End16.3
blue by 40.4
158.31.0
154.4153.4
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Third
4555
#39
107.36.7
100.1106.8
Auto16.6
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 25.9
3930
#36
133.30.0
129.7129.7
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed