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Red458
133210.7
58159.1
5633132.6
Blue229
5265123.6
3451112.4
4041157.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421234100200300500600458229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
210.71.8
194.0195.8
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
red by 53.6
4041
#11
157.10.4
149.8150.2
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
Second
58
#8
159.10.3
153.8154.1
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
red by 35.5
5265
#15
123.60.3
116.4116.2
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
Third
5633
#33
132.69.3
103.4112.7
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
red by 20.2
3451
#27
112.47.3
95.9103.2
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed