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Red206
172133.3
5687200.7
2648134.7
Blue323
6224138.0
1735110.6
95181.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338277100150200250300400450500206323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.71.2
193.5194.7
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 18.8
95
#12
181.90.3
176.8177.2
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
Second
2648
#16
134.70.3
140.6140.3
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
blue by 3.4
6224
#25
138.01.0
134.7135.7
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
Third
172
#17
133.31.4
123.8125.2
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
red by 22.8
1735
#28
110.61.4
111.7110.2
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed