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Red96
5506111.8
348142.2
4925110.1
Blue352
663169.1
3609111.8
5122116.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29929410020025035096352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#9
142.20.5
140.8141.3
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
blue by 27.0
663
#7
169.11.4
161.2162.6
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Second
5506
#38
111.87.9
105.1113.0
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
blue by 4.8
5122
#40
116.61.0
108.1109.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
Third
4925
#31
110.15.9
101.9107.8
Auto15.9
Teleop86.0
End5.7
blue by 1.7
3609
#23
111.84.3
96.6100.9
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed