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Red218
6337130.0
4555107.3
716134.2
Blue243
3451112.4
5633132.6
237170.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277352100200400500600218243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#18
134.20.6
127.3127.8
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
blue by 36.1
237
#4
170.31.5
161.3162.8
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
Second
6337
#37
130.01.2
132.1133.3
Auto16.3
Teleop97.9
End16.0
blue by 2.7
5633
#33
132.68.2
112.7120.9
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
Third
4555
#39
107.34.1
106.8110.9
Auto16.6
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 5.0
3451
#27
112.44.6
103.2107.8
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed