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Red245
5122116.6
6329154.3
1735110.6
Blue331
348142.2
3609111.8
2370158.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260325100200400500600245331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.31.3
147.9149.2
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
blue by 4.0
158.30.3
153.4153.2
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Second
5122
#40
116.61.3
109.2110.5
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 25.5
348
#9
142.21.1
141.3140.2
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
Third
1735
#28
110.60.8
110.2109.4
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
blue by 1.3
3609
#23
111.84.4
100.9105.3
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned