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Red420
5265123.6
58159.1
5687200.7
Blue158
3930133.3
5471112.0
1831128.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962120100300500600420158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.70.4
194.7195.1
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 67.5
3930
#36
133.30.5
129.7130.2
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
Second
58
#8
159.11.0
154.1155.0
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
red by 30.7
1831
#29
128.50.7
130.9131.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.0
End13.7
Third
5265
#15
123.60.3
116.2115.9
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
red by 11.6
5471
#26
112.00.8
107.9107.1
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned3%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed