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Red350
2523129.6
4958120.8
95181.9
Blue338
4473135.1
5506111.8
4055153.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360251100200300400500600350338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#12
181.90.7
177.2177.8
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
red by 28.8
4055
#10
153.10.5
140.7141.2
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
Second
2523
#32
129.62.8
118.3121.1
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End19.9
blue by 5.5
4473
#14
135.11.3
123.7125.0
Auto18.1
Teleop96.2
End22.5
Third
4958
#30
120.81.8
104.6106.3
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End13.9
red by 9.0
5506
#38
111.81.3
113.0114.2
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned