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Red236
172133.3
4906134.2
4041157.1
Blue352
663169.1
2648134.7
133210.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258426100200300500600700236352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#11
157.10.2
150.2150.3
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
blue by 53.6
133
#1
210.72.2
195.8198.0
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
Second
4906
#24
134.21.8
132.8134.6
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
blue by 34.9
663
#7
169.11.8
162.6164.4
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Third
172
#17
133.30.6
125.2125.8
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
blue by 1.3
2648
#16
134.70.7
140.3139.5
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed