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Red277
237170.3
58159.1
3930133.3
Blue372
4473135.1
2370158.3
95181.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315349200400500277372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#4
170.30.2
163.5163.7
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
blue by 11.7
95
#12
181.90.7
178.9179.6
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
Second
58
#8
159.10.9
156.2157.0
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
red by 0.8
158.30.2
153.7153.5
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Third
3930
#36
133.30.2
130.3130.5
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
blue by 1.9
4473
#14
135.10.6
126.9127.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.2
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed