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Red144
4906134.2
3451112.4
2648134.7
Blue408
1735110.6
348142.2
4564193.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275336100200300400500144408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
134.70.6
138.8138.2
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
blue by 58.4
193.10.6
181.3181.9
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
Second
4906
#24
134.20.7
135.7136.5
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
blue by 7.9
348
#9
142.20.6
140.1140.7
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
Third
3451
#27
112.42.6
109.5112.1
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
red by 1.8
1735
#28
110.61.2
108.8107.6
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed