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Red66
6161117.9
3451112.4
6224138.0
Blue555
4906134.2
95181.9
6329154.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169399010020030050066555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6224
#25
138.00.1
141.1141.2
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
blue by 43.9
95
#12
181.90.7
179.6180.4
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
Second
6161
#21
117.92.0
116.6118.5
Auto16.3
Teleop87.3
End16.3
blue by 36.3
154.30.3
150.7151.0
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
Third
3451
#27
112.40.7
112.1111.4
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
blue by 21.8
4906
#24
134.20.3
136.5136.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed