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Red213
348142.2
4555107.3
3525118.6
Blue440
6172152.8
133210.7
2370158.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414570100200300400500600213440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#9
142.21.1
140.7141.8
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
blue by 68.5
133
#1
210.72.5
202.2204.7
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
Second
3525
#34
118.60.6
118.2118.8
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
blue by 39.7
158.30.0
153.5153.5
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Third
4555
#39
107.31.4
111.1112.5
Auto16.6
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 45.4
6172
#20
152.81.4
150.2151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed