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Red425
4958120.8
1768130.2
716134.2
Blue293
2523129.6
5265123.6
3930133.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297308250350400425293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#18
134.20.3
127.6127.9
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
red by 0.9
3930
#36
133.30.0
130.5130.5
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
Second
1768
#22
130.21.5
124.0125.5
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
red by 0.6
2523
#32
129.62.5
126.6129.1
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End19.9
Third
4958
#30
120.81.6
112.9114.4
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End13.9
blue by 2.8
5265
#15
123.61.5
116.8118.3
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed