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Red435
2648134.7
4564193.1
5633132.6
Blue166
663169.1
5506111.8
58159.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311344150200250400450500435166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.11.1
181.9183.0
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
red by 24.0
663
#7
169.11.3
166.7167.9
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Second
2648
#16
134.71.4
138.2136.9
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
blue by 24.5
58
#8
159.10.5
157.0157.5
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
Third
5633
#33
132.60.2
126.8127.0
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
red by 20.8
5506
#38
111.81.5
119.3120.8
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed