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Red419
5687200.7
4042110.8
4473135.1
Blue249
1831128.5
172133.3
5122116.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375250100200300400500600419249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.71.0
196.3197.3
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 67.4
172
#17
133.31.1
126.9128.1
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Second
4473
#14
135.10.6
127.5128.1
Auto18.1
Teleop96.2
End22.5
red by 6.7
1831
#29
128.50.1
131.9131.8
Auto16.0
Teleop98.0
End13.7
Third
4042
#35
110.80.1
111.3111.4
Auto16.1
Teleop86.4
End7.0
blue by 5.8
5122
#40
116.60.2
112.2112.4
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed