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Red361
3451112.4
4564193.1
4958120.8
Blue250
5122116.6
6161117.9
1768130.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377236100200300500600361250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.11.8
184.9186.7
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
red by 62.9
1768
#22
130.21.3
127.6128.9
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
Second
4958
#30
120.81.4
117.5118.9
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End13.9
red by 2.9
6161
#21
117.91.2
118.5117.2
Auto16.3
Teleop87.3
End16.3
Third
3451
#27
112.41.2
109.7111.0
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
blue by 4.2
5122
#40
116.60.6
112.9113.5
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed