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Red391
6153131.7
3930133.3
663169.1
Blue276
2648134.7
6337130.0
6172152.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337306100200400500391276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#7
169.10.5
167.5166.9
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
red by 16.3
6172
#20
152.80.4
152.9153.3
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
Second
3930
#36
133.30.3
130.8131.1
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
blue by 1.4
2648
#16
134.70.0
136.7136.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
Third
6153
#13
131.71.1
126.6127.7
Auto17.6
Teleop99.3
End15.5
red by 1.7
6337
#37
130.00.9
132.9132.1
Auto16.3
Teleop97.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed