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Red352
4041157.1
4925110.1
95181.9
Blue220
5687200.7
348142.2
4906134.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693590100200300400500352220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#12
181.90.7
181.4182.1
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
blue by 18.8
200.70.9
198.6199.5
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
Second
4041
#11
157.10.9
150.4151.3
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
red by 15.0
348
#9
142.20.9
142.3143.1
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
Third
4925
#31
110.11.1
110.1109.0
Auto15.9
Teleop86.0
End5.7
blue by 24.1
4906
#24
134.20.1
136.3136.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed