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Red408
4546111.4
4473135.1
58159.1
Blue199
3609111.8
3525118.6
6329154.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843070100200400500600700408199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
159.10.3
156.4156.1
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
red by 4.9
154.31.0
151.6152.6
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
Second
4473
#14
135.11.4
129.1130.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.2
End22.5
red by 16.5
3525
#34
118.60.1
118.9119.0
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
Third
4546
#19
111.44.1
115.2111.0
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End15.4
blue by 0.4
3609
#23
111.80.8
115.5114.6
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed