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Red311
4055153.1
5265123.6
5633132.6
Blue394
172133.3
2370158.3
6224138.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30133605001,0001,500311394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#10
153.11.4
147.3148.7
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
blue by 5.2
158.30.1
153.6153.5
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Second
5633
#33
132.60.9
129.5130.4
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
blue by 5.4
6224
#25
138.01.6
140.7139.1
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
Third
5265
#15
123.61.0
119.9120.9
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
blue by 9.7
172
#17
133.31.0
129.3130.3
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed