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Red235
716134.2
6329154.3
4564193.1
Blue216
4042110.8
95181.9
133210.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310382200500600235216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.11.8
186.7188.5
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
blue by 17.6
133
#1
210.71.3
208.2209.5
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
Second
154.30.5
152.6153.0
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
blue by 27.7
95
#12
181.91.2
182.1183.3
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
Third
716
#18
134.21.4
130.3131.7
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
red by 23.3
4042
#35
110.80.1
112.0111.9
Auto16.1
Teleop86.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed