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Red357
4546111.4
237170.3
2370158.3
Blue153
2648134.7
1768130.2
2523129.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353309100200400500600357153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#4
170.31.3
165.8167.1
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
red by 35.6
2648
#16
134.70.3
136.7136.5
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
Second
158.30.7
153.5154.1
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
red by 28.1
1768
#22
130.21.5
128.9130.3
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
Third
4546
#19
111.40.8
111.0110.3
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End15.4
blue by 18.2
2523
#32
129.60.8
131.8132.6
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed