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Red271
4555107.3
5122116.6
4055153.1
Blue423
6161117.9
4041157.1
58159.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543820100200300500600271423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#10
153.11.4
148.7150.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
blue by 6.0
58
#8
159.10.9
156.1157.0
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
Second
5122
#40
116.60.9
113.5114.4
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 40.5
4041
#11
157.11.3
151.3152.6
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
Third
4555
#39
107.31.6
110.0108.4
Auto16.6
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 10.6
6161
#21
117.90.0
117.2117.2
Auto16.3
Teleop87.3
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed