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Red274
716134.2
1735110.6
5506111.8
Blue355
6337130.0
4564193.1
5471112.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223900100300500600274355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#18
134.20.6
131.7132.3
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
blue by 58.9
193.10.9
188.5189.4
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
Second
5506
#38
111.81.4
114.1112.7
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
blue by 18.2
6337
#37
130.00.7
131.1130.3
Auto16.3
Teleop97.9
End16.0
Third
1735
#28
110.60.6
109.4110.0
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
blue by 1.4
5471
#26
112.01.4
109.3110.6
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed