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Red229
4555107.3
1768130.2
3451112.4
Blue333
58159.1
172133.3
6153131.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193760100300500600229333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#22
130.20.2
130.3130.2
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
blue by 29.0
58
#8
159.11.1
157.0158.1
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
Second
3451
#27
112.40.2
112.4112.5
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
blue by 20.9
172
#17
133.30.7
131.9132.6
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Third
4555
#39
107.30.4
108.4107.9
Auto16.6
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 24.3
6153
#13
131.71.1
129.3130.4
Auto17.6
Teleop99.3
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed