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Red252
6153131.7
5122116.6
4906134.2
Blue434
4546111.4
4041157.1
716134.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813420100200400500600252434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#24
134.20.2
133.9134.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
blue by 22.9
4041
#11
157.11.9
154.0155.9
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
Second
6153
#13
131.70.9
130.4131.3
Auto17.6
Teleop99.3
End15.5
blue by 2.5
716
#18
134.20.6
132.3132.9
Auto15.7
Teleop104.5
End14.5
Third
5122
#40
116.60.3
115.6115.9
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
red by 5.2
4546
#19
111.41.1
110.4111.4
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed