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Red284
1735110.6
172133.3
3930133.3
Blue319
3525118.6
5506111.8
2370158.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318305150200250350400450284319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#17
133.30.5
132.6133.2
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
blue by 25.0
158.32.0
155.1157.1
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Second
3930
#36
133.30.4
132.9133.3
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
red by 14.7
3525
#34
118.60.2
118.9118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
Third
1735
#28
110.60.6
110.0110.6
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
blue by 1.2
5506
#38
111.80.9
112.7111.8
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed