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Red383
2877184.2
4564192.6
885132.8
Blue350
5813183.8
131163.6
6153141.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372328100200500600700800383350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.60.5
191.6192.1
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
red by 8.8
183.80.2
183.4183.6
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
Second
184.20.3
183.4183.8
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 20.6
131
#2
163.60.8
162.0162.8
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
Third
885
#15
132.80.2
132.3132.5
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
blue by 8.3
6153
#22
141.10.5
140.1140.6
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0