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Red454
2877184.2
4564192.6
885132.8
Blue243
5813183.8
131163.6
6153141.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374330100200500600700800454243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.60.5
192.1192.6
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
red by 8.8
183.80.2
183.6183.8
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
Second
184.20.4
183.8184.2
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 20.6
131
#2
163.60.8
162.8163.6
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
Third
885
#15
132.80.3
132.5132.8
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
blue by 8.3
6153
#22
141.10.5
140.6141.1
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0