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Qual 12018 Summer Heat
Red175
172121.6
6153141.1
9995119.2
Blue438
4041183.1
2648134.0
5687182.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2024350100300400500600700175438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#22
141.10.5
131.7→132.2
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0
blue by 42.0
4041
#3
183.12.3
172.8→175.1
Auto22.6
Teleop132.6
End31.6
Second
172
#21
121.60.1
130.5→130.6
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
blue by 61.1
5687
#5
182.72.5
197.6→195.2
Auto21.4
Teleop142.1
End19.6
Third
9995
#10
119.241.5
119.2→77.7
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
blue by 14.8
2648
#23
134.00.3
134.7→135.0
Auto15.5
Teleop103.5
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed