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Red176
3609123.1
6172146.0
6933159.6
Blue495
1071154.8
4564192.6
131163.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793940100200500600700800176495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#14
159.60.8
159.6160.4
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
blue by 33.0
192.61.2
191.2189.9
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
Second
6172
#16
146.01.0
152.8151.8
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
blue by 17.6
131
#2
163.61.5
146.0147.5
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
Third
123.10.8
121.1121.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3
blue by 31.7
154.81.0
152.4153.4
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned