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Qual 32018 Summer Heat
Red278
5813183.8
2877184.2
9996112.9
Blue219
1058150.7
6329159.5
885132.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572790100200400500600700800278219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#6
184.20.7
184.6→184.0
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 24.6
6329
#19
159.52.0
156.3→158.3
Auto20.6
Teleop118.4
End18.6
Second
5813
#4
183.81.3
176.9→178.2
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
red by 33.1
1058
#17
150.71.2
153.9→152.6
Auto16.6
Teleop118.5
End17.9
Third
9996
#18
112.962.1
139.8→77.7
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End9.2
blue by 20.0
885
#15
132.80.9
125.6→126.6
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed