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Qual 42018 Summer Heat
Red153
3461170.0
999894.8
58152.9
Blue116
9999101.2
9997117.5
4055152.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812450100200300500600700153116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#8
170.00.1
175.2→175.3
Auto19.5
Teleop131.4
End20.5
red by 17.2
4055
#12
152.70.6
153.1→153.7
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End32.1
Second
58
#11
152.91.2
155.9→157.1
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
red by 35.4
9997
#13
117.559.1
136.8→77.7
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
Third
9998
#20
94.817.1
94.8→77.7
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
blue by 6.3
9999
#24
101.217.6
60.1→77.7
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed