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Red331
6153141.1
885132.8
131163.6
Blue404
3609123.1
4564192.6
2877184.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273990100300500600700800331404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
163.61.7
147.5149.2
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
blue by 29.0
192.60.5
189.9189.4
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
Second
6153
#22
141.10.1
132.2132.3
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0
blue by 43.0
184.20.8
184.0183.2
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
Third
885
#15
132.80.4
126.6126.9
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
red by 9.7
123.10.1
121.9122.0
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed