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Qual 62018 Summer Heat
Red415
4041183.1
1071154.8
9997117.5
Blue131
9996112.9
9999101.2
999894.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3921770100300500600700415131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#3
183.11.9
175.1→177.0
Auto22.6
Teleop132.6
End31.6
red by 70.2
9996
#18
112.911.1
77.7→88.9
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End9.2
Second
1071
#7
154.81.3
153.4→154.7
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
red by 53.6
9999
#24
101.210.1
77.7→87.8
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End7.4
Third
9997
#13
117.510.1
77.7→87.8
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
red by 22.6
9998
#20
94.87.2
77.7→84.9
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed