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Qual 72018 Summer Heat
Red251
172121.6
5687182.7
6329159.5
Blue166
6172146.0
1058150.7
4055152.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872570100200300500600251166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#5
182.71.9
195.2→193.3
Auto21.4
Teleop142.1
End19.6
red by 30.0
4055
#12
152.70.2
153.7→153.4
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End32.1
Second
6329
#19
159.51.2
158.3→159.4
Auto20.6
Teleop118.4
End18.6
red by 8.8
1058
#17
150.71.3
152.6→151.3
Auto16.6
Teleop118.5
End17.9
Third
172
#21
121.60.2
130.6→130.4
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
blue by 24.5
6172
#16
146.01.5
151.8→150.3
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed