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Qual 82018 Summer Heat
Red209
6933159.6
58152.9
2648134.0
Blue353
5813183.8
9995119.2
3461170.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053360100200400500600700800209353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#14
159.60.1
160.4→160.3
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
blue by 24.1
5813
#4
183.80.8
178.2→179.0
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
Second
58
#11
152.90.9
157.1→156.2
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
blue by 17.1
3461
#8
170.01.7
175.3→173.5
Auto19.5
Teleop131.4
End20.5
Third
2648
#23
134.00.3
135.0→135.3
Auto15.5
Teleop103.5
End15.5
red by 14.8
9995
#10
119.210.9
77.7→88.6
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed