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Red137
999894.8
4041183.1
172121.6
Blue408
6329159.5
131163.6
2877184.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1744140100300500600700137408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.12.4
177.0179.4
Auto22.6
Teleop132.6
End31.6
blue by 1.1
184.20.5
183.2182.7
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
Second
172
#21
121.61.3
130.4129.1
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
blue by 42.0
131
#2
163.62.5
149.2151.7
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
Third
9998
#20
94.84.7
84.989.6
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
blue by 64.7
6329
#19
159.50.2
159.4159.2
Auto20.6
Teleop118.4
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed