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Qual 122018 Summer Heat
Red263
9997117.5
6153141.1
1058150.7
Blue266
885132.8
6933159.6
9995119.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299304200250350400263266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#17
150.71.8
151.3→149.5
Auto16.6
Teleop118.5
End17.9
blue by 8.9
6933
#14
159.60.7
160.3→159.7
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
Second
6153
#22
141.11.2
132.3→133.4
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0
red by 8.3
885
#15
132.81.4
126.9→128.4
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
Third
9997
#13
117.58.9
87.8→96.7
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
blue by 1.7
9995
#10
119.27.8
88.6→96.4
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed