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Red234
1071154.8
5687182.7
3609123.1
Blue321
58152.9
4041183.1
6172146.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359326200300400500600234321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.71.8
190.7188.8
Auto21.4
Teleop142.1
End19.6
blue by 0.4
183.11.1
179.4180.5
Auto22.6
Teleop132.6
End31.6
Second
154.80.4
156.6157.0
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
red by 1.9
58
#11
152.90.8
154.9154.1
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
Third
123.10.9
122.1123.0
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3
blue by 22.9
6172
#16
146.00.9
148.4147.5
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed