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Qual 172018 Summer Heat
Red356
2877184.2
9995119.2
4041183.1
Blue273
6172146.0
3461170.0
1071154.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378309100200500600700356273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#6
184.20.0
182.5→182.5
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 14.2
3461
#8
170.00.5
172.4→171.9
Auto19.5
Teleop131.4
End20.5
Second
4041
#3
183.11.1
180.5→181.6
Auto22.6
Teleop132.6
End31.6
red by 28.3
1071
#7
154.80.5
157.0→156.5
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
Third
9995
#10
119.27.1
103.0→110.0
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
blue by 26.8
6172
#16
146.00.6
147.5→146.9
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed