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Qual 182018 Summer Heat
Red191
9996112.9
172121.6
885132.8
Blue219
9997117.5
5687182.7
999894.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293360100400500600700800191219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#15
132.81.3
130.0→131.3
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
blue by 49.9
5687
#5
182.72.3
188.8→186.5
Auto21.4
Teleop142.1
End19.6
Second
172
#21
121.61.9
127.3→125.4
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
red by 4.1
9997
#13
117.57.1
104.0→111.2
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
Third
9996
#18
112.96.5
102.5→109.0
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End9.2
red by 18.0
9998
#20
94.81.3
90.5→91.8
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed