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Qual 202018 Summer Heat
Red243
6153141.1
58152.9
3609123.1
Blue380
131163.6
4055152.7
5813183.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2474170200600800243380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#11
152.90.5
154.1→153.6
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
blue by 30.9
5813
#4
183.81.1
181.0→182.0
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
Second
6153
#22
141.11.6
134.9→136.5
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0
blue by 22.4
131
#2
163.62.6
153.9→156.5
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
Third
3609
#9
123.10.1
123.0→122.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3
blue by 29.6
4055
#12
152.70.2
152.7→152.9
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End32.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed