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Qual 212018 Summer Heat
Red405
5687182.7
6933159.6
4564192.6
Blue302
2877184.2
2648134.0
9997117.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022460100200300500600700405302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#1
192.60.9
189.2→190.1
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
red by 8.4
2877
#6
184.20.1
182.5→182.6
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
Second
5687
#5
182.72.2
186.5→184.3
Auto21.4
Teleop142.1
End19.6
red by 48.7
2648
#23
134.00.5
133.0→133.5
Auto15.5
Teleop103.5
End15.5
Third
6933
#14
159.60.3
159.9→159.6
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
red by 42.1
9997
#13
117.53.9
111.2→115.1
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed