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Red461
5547144.4
5193160.6
6088133.3
Blue179
6638101.3
6545108.6
4983149.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322254100200400500461179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.60.9
132.3133.3
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
red by 10.8
149.71.5
145.1146.5
Auto19.1
Teleop111.7
End20.9
Second
144.40.5
126.4126.9
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
red by 35.7
6545
#24
108.62.0
110.3108.4
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
Third
6088
#11
133.30.5
117.2117.7
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
red by 32.0
6638
#27
101.30.9
103.0102.1
Auto15.2
Teleop76.1
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed